Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 15.144624 17.126022 19.340391 22.011964 25.165533 28.791426 33.307356
2025-09-21 11.891583 14.267773 17.133046 20.885580 25.734907 31.880670 40.407011
2025-09-28 10.182742 12.700377 15.893285 20.315949 26.407255 34.693425 47.165920
2025-10-05 10.084331 13.064671 17.038199 22.864059 31.437636 44.018340 64.744730
2025-10-12 9.464334 12.620851 16.994087 23.698249 34.103047 50.354175 79.268367
2025-10-19 8.532695 11.624162 16.031663 23.020232 34.320050 52.858112 87.960080
2025-10-26 8.129525 11.328503 16.030788 23.764124 36.844740 59.521191 105.652976
2025-11-02 7.530892 10.680271 15.421446 23.447362 37.523630 63.053717 118.218800
2025-11-09 6.991989 10.071160 14.806003 23.032048 37.942998 66.141470 130.652532
2025-11-16 6.551540 9.575232 14.318695 22.766105 38.573060 69.715457 145.154401
2025-11-23 6.092181 9.012857 13.672238 22.145487 38.438306 71.699951 156.463881
2025-11-30 5.761634 8.631853 13.291294 21.952691 39.094537 75.452040 173.403447
2025-12-07 5.300183 8.020740 12.499378 20.973581 38.144084 75.730305 181.851391
2025-12-14 4.868712 7.433205 11.707300 19.922805 36.923475 75.217261 188.108887
2025-12-21 4.561972 7.034060 11.211528 19.385312 36.710247 77.041061 202.117494
2025-12-28 4.724605 7.440546 12.168765 21.785096 43.276142 97.158048 285.167788
2026-01-04 4.636121 7.403212 12.316082 22.569779 46.325301 109.040945 347.364410
2026-01-11 4.367467 7.029282 11.808393 21.932032 45.880995 111.059130 371.847825
2026-01-18 4.286843 6.986891 11.922501 22.631727 48.845509 123.879720 451.686989
2026-01-25 4.092894 6.726007 11.596455 22.333828 49.224349 128.885111 498.999912
2026-02-01 3.902642 6.461161 11.244404 21.943149 49.304139 132.982438 545.151054
2026-02-08 3.741181 6.241020 10.965939 21.692922 49.729621 138.395371 603.462331
2026-02-15 3.555354 5.965512 10.559250 21.108802 49.151111 140.195618 642.410417